Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.090369 0.104510 0.120125 0.138645 0.160012 0.183896 0.212627
2025-12-14 0.066466 0.084951 0.107452 0.136857 0.174286 0.220370 0.281479
2025-12-21 0.054734 0.075041 0.101509 0.138534 0.189025 0.255543 0.349988
2025-12-28 0.048375 0.070227 0.100341 0.144870 0.209098 0.298512 0.432730
2026-01-04 0.042926 0.065484 0.098106 0.148719 0.225359 0.337266 0.513542
2026-01-11 0.038499 0.061393 0.095963 0.151954 0.240505 0.375441 0.597353
2026-01-18 0.034450 0.057209 0.092955 0.153172 0.252261 0.409255 0.677804
2026-01-25 0.030456 0.052513 0.088445 0.151218 0.258385 0.434413 0.746703
2026-02-01 0.026571 0.047455 0.082660 0.146296 0.258743 0.449785 0.800482
2026-02-08 0.024496 0.045222 0.081304 0.148654 0.271584 0.487180 0.895871
2026-02-15 0.022428 0.042728 0.079164 0.149281 0.281259 0.519808 0.986013
2026-02-22 0.020783 0.040799 0.077786 0.151061 0.293084 0.557265 1.088777
2026-03-01 0.018635 0.037694 0.073951 0.147895 0.295473 0.577969 1.163056
2026-03-08 0.016896 0.035186 0.070981 0.146071 0.300264 0.603768 1.250359
2026-03-15 0.015753 0.033738 0.069904 0.147862 0.312382 0.645004 1.373099
2026-03-22 0.015220 0.033487 0.071193 0.154623 0.335389 0.710397 1.552973
2026-03-29 0.014471 0.032683 0.071238 0.158731 0.353194 0.766803 1.719877
2026-04-05 0.013728 0.031798 0.071004 0.162183 0.369907 0.822527 1.891332
2026-04-12 0.012874 0.030563 0.069869 0.163482 0.381933 0.869232 2.047615
2026-04-19 0.011847 0.028807 0.067377 0.161398 0.385986 0.898559 2.167100
2026-04-26 0.010701 0.026637 0.063708 0.156145 0.382044 0.909230 2.243747
2026-05-03 0.010173 0.025903 0.063311 0.158662 0.396900 0.965048 2.435159
2026-05-10 0.009571 0.024919 0.062211 0.159330 0.407295 1.011275 2.607959